In yesterday’s post, I indicated that if Union Pacific’s share price drops to $156.79 that the fund would use its excess cash to purchase shares. Well, today at 10:35 AM it did drop to $156.39.
The last two days have been expensive. Norfolk Southern’s value has dropped to $190.07. I currently have 49.060606 shares in the fund bought at two different prices two days ago. My total investment is $10,000. Thus, the current market value is $9,324.95 meaning the fund has decreased $675.05 in two days!
In addition, the price to book ratios are also higher than last quarter. The key question for me and this fund is figuring out if there is value in any of the stocks. To do this, I must fill out a table of various preferred ratios and then explain them in a write-up. This way the reader will understand my reasoning as I write about it further
During the last 30 days, the fund held 13.52375 shares (original investment of $2,500) and sold them on 01/17/2020 at 9:40 AM when the price in the market hit the target under the value investment principle at $207.17. The value investing principle (simply stated) required the share price to hit the prior peak price which was $206.46. However, on that morning, the share price instantly jumped past $206.46 to $207.17 triggering the sale of the stock. The gain on the sale net of costs of $1.00 per share to buy and $1.00 per share to sell was $288.19. The stock was purchased on 10/23/19 at $183.86.
A tool used by a developer, contractor or homeowner to keep the primary party committed to getting the project completed is called ‘retainage’. In effect, retainage means to withhold a small percentage of all payments made until all the work is done. The idea is prevent the contractor, subcontractor or vendor from earning their respective profit until they have completed their agreed upon service.
Union Pacific’s stock carries the highest price to book ratio among the six Class I Railways. It is about a 1.43 times factor over the next best price to book ratio of CSX at 4.73. Strong price to book ratio investments infrequently have deep or extended price depressions. Therefore, an investor must be patient and wait for opportunities to buy.
Today is November 15, 2019 and Canadian Pacific Railroad recovered in accordance with my railroad fund investment model to $241.47 per share. The value investing model automatically sold at $241.47 and the price per share continued to climb to $241.86 when the market closed at 4 PM. This sale generated a 9.31% return on the investment over 27 days. Annualized return is > 100%.
With stock investing, one of the valuation ratios used is the price to book ratio. It identifies the spread between book value and market value for a share of stock. As the spread increases the ratio increases. A good example is Coca-Cola. Its price to book ratio hovers in the 11 range. Coca-Cola is a Dow Jones Industrial top 30 stock.