Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Gross Domestic Product is defined as the total production for the country. It is measured by including all the dollars spent to purchase products/services from all the various sellers of goods. The largest purchaser of products/services is consumers. Coming in behind consumers are businesses, remember they are buying goods too. This includes everything from office supplies to the raw materials to make the products the consumers ultimately purchase. Finally, our government spends money on materials too. Of course, they purchase items that many of us cannot afford such as aircraft carriers. 

One of the problems with the formula is where the product is manufactured. I purchase my sneakers from the local athletic store. It turns out the sneaker (Converse All-Star, the old Chuck Taylors, you have to be at least 45 to appreciate them) used to be made in the United States, but it is now made in China and shipped here. In reality, the product is an import. But at the same time, the United States makes products and ships them to other buyers throughout the world. Thus, the Gross Domestic Product formula makes an adjustment for exports and imports. Over the last 30 years or so, the United States imports more than it exports thus the Gross Domestic Product formula is adjusted downward to reflect the net value of the total imports in excess of the exports.

The following sections describe the four main areas of the formula and how the value is derived.

Consumer Spending   

In 2013, the 290 million Americans living in the continental United States spent over 11.5 trillion dollars for goods and services.  The Bureau of Economic Analysis provides a quarterly report updating the Gross Domestic Product. The consumer spending section is divided into two broad categories. They include goods and services. Goods are further divided into durable (autos, appliances, & electronics) and nondurable (traditional consumer items such as food, clothing etc.). Services are traditional expenditures for a typical family. This includes transportation, utilities, education, entertainment, insurance, health care, and many others.

Industry Investment 

The US Bureau of Economics refers to this section as the Gross Private Domestic Investment and it is comprised of three groupings. The first is the non-residential group comprising purchases of new tools, equipment, and manufacturing facilities. This includes the traditional consumables the company’s use on a day to day process. The second grouping is the residential investment. This is basically the landlord investments into additional properties available for rent (apartment complexes, resort facilities and single family homes). The final grouping is the inventory volume. This comprises the increase or decrease in overall volume of inventory available for sale to the consumers. Imagine General Motors having inventory from raw materials to the final product. If their overall inventory on the books increases, they believe the consumers desire to purchase more and this grouping acts as a leading indicator of economic change. During 2013, the industry investment totaled 2.7 trillion dollars. 

Government Spending 

When most people talk about government spending, they automatically think of the federal government. But in reality the local and state governments (combined) spend about 1.5 times as much as the federal government. Altogether the federal government spends around 1.25 trillion dollars and the state/local governments spend around 1.88 trillion dollars. Think of all the products they purchase; from expenditures for defense down to the staples used in the local government offices. Altogether, the governments spent 3.1 trillion dollars in 2013. 


For the last 33 years, the United States buys more products from foreign nations than it exports. The driving force of purchases relates to oil. The U.S. imported nearly $390 billion in 2013 followed closely behind by machines, engines and pumps at $311 billion. The next closest type of imported good was electronics at $303 billion. On the export side of the equation, the number one export for the United States is machines and engines at $213 billion. The second largest export is electronic equipment at $165 billion followed closely by oil at $148 billion.  Since imports exceed exports, the net combined number is generally negative (has been for 33 years and there is no foreseeable change) and during 2013 it reached a negative 500 billion dollars. 

Summary – Gross Domestic Product

Based on the equation used to calculate Gross Domestic Product, the following is the result for 2013:

  • Consumer Spending                          $11,500,000,000,000   Plus
  • Industry Investment                              2,700,000,000,000   Plus
  • Government Spending                          3,100,000,000,000   Minus
  • Exports/Imports                                      (500,000,000,000)   (Remember, we import more than we export)
    Gross Domestic Product for 2013      $16,800,000,000,000

Notice the number of zeroes involved? 16.8 Trillion Dollars is a big number. Act on Knowledge.

Value Investing

Do you want to learn how to get returns like this?

Then learn about Value Investing. Value investing in the simplest of terms means to buy low and sell high. Value investing is defined as a systematic process of buying high quality stock at an undervalued market price quantified by intrinsic value and justified via financial analysis; then selling the stock in a timely manner upon market price recovery.

There are four key principles used with value investing. Each is required. They are:

  1. Risk Reduction – Buy only high quality stocks;
  2. Intrinsic Value – The underlying assets and operations are of good quality and performance;
  3. Financial Analysis – Use core financial information, business ratios and key performance indicators to create a high level of confidence that recovery is just a matter of time;
  4. Patience – Allow time to work for the investor.

If you are interested in learning more, go to the Membership Program page under Value Investing section in the header above. 

Join the value investing club and learn about value investing and how you can easily acquire similar results with your investment fund. Upon joining, you’ll receive the book Value Investing with Business Ratios, a reference guide used with all the decision models you build. Each member goes through three distinct phases:

  1. Education – Introduction to value investing along with terminology used are explained. Key principles of value investing are covered via a series of lessons and tutorials.
  2. Development – Members are taught how pools of investments are developed by first learning about financial metrics and how to read financial statements. The member then uses existing models to grasp the core understanding of developing buy/sell triggers for high quality stocks.
  3. Sophistication – Most members reach this phase of understanding after about six months. Many members create their own pools of investments and share with others their knowledge. Members are introduced to more sophisticated types of investments and how to use them to reduce risk and improve, via leverage, overall returns for their value investment pools.

Each week, you receive an e-mail with a full update on the pools. Follow along as the Investment Fund grows. Start investing with confidence from what you learn. Create your own fund and over time, accumulate wealth. Joining entitles you to the following:

  • Lessons about value investing and the principles involved;
  • Free webinars from the author following up the lessons;
  • Charts, graphs, tutorials, templates and resources to use when you create your own pool;
  • Access to existing pools and their respective data models along with buy/sell triggers;
  • Follow along with the investment fund and its weekly updates;
  • White papers addressing financial principles and proper interpretation methods; AND
  • Some simple good advice.

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